Publications of Ricarda Winkelmann

Ciemer, C.; Winkelmann, R.; Kurths, J.; Boers, N.: Impact of an AMOC weakening on the stability of the southern Amazon rainforest. European Physical Journal - Special Topics 230 (14), s11734-021-00186-x, pp. 3065 - 3073 (2021)

Wunderling, N.; Krönke, J.; Wohlfarth, V.; Kohler, J.; Heitzig, J.; Staal, A.; Willner, S.; Winkelmann, R.; Donges, J. F.: Modelling nonlinear dynamics of interacting tipping elements on complex networks: the PyCascades package. European Physical Journal - Special Topics 230 (14), s11734-021-00155-4, pp. 3163 - 3176 (2021)

Payne, A. J.; Nowicki, S.; Abe-Ouchi, A.; Agosta, C.; Alexander, P.; Albrecht, T.; Asay-Davis, X.; Aschwanden, A.; Barthel, A.; Bracegirdle, T. J. et al.; Calov, R.; Chambers, C.; Choi, Y.; Cullather, R.; Cuzzone, J.; Dumas, C.; Edwards, T. L.; Felikson, D.; Fettweis, X.; Galton-Fenzi, B. K.; Goelzer, H.; Gladstone, R.; Golledge, N. R.; Gregory, J. M.; Greve, R.; Hattermann, T.; Hoffman, M. J.; Humbert, A.; Huybrechts, P.; Jourdain, N. C.; Kleiner, T.; Munneke, P. K.; Larour, E.; Le clec'h, S.; Lee, V.; Leguy, G.; Lipscomb, W. H.; Little, C. M.; Lowry, D. P.; Morlighem, M.; Nias, I.; Pattyn, F.; Pelle, T.; Price, S. F.; Quiquet, A.; Reese, R.; Rückamp, M.; Schlegel, N.-J.; Seroussi, H.; Shepherd, A.; Simon, E.; Slater, D.; Smith, R. S.; Straneo, F.; Sun, S.; Tarasov, L.; Trusel, L. D.; Van Breedam, J.; van de Wal, R.; van den Broeke, M.; Winkelmann, R.; Zhao, C.; Zhang, T.; Zwinger, T.: Future sea level change under Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 and Phase 6 scenarios from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets. Geophysical Research Letters 48 (16), e2020GL091741, pp. 497 - 510 (2021)

Edwards, T. L.; Nowicki, S.; Marzeion, B.; Hock, R.; Goelzer, H.; Seroussi, H.; Jourdain, N. C.; Slater, D. A.; Turner, F. E.; Smith, C. J. et al.; McKenna, C. M.; Simon, E.; Abe-Ouchi, A.; Gregory, J. M.; Larour, E.; Lipscomb, W. H.; Payne, A. J.; Shepherd, A.; Agosta, C.; Alexander, P.; Albrecht, T.; Anderson, B.; Asay-Davis, X.; Aschwanden, A.; Barthel, A.; Bliss, A.; Calov, R.; Chambers, C.; Champollion, N.; Choi, Y.; Cullather, R.; Cuzzone, J.; Dumas, C.; Felikson, D.; Fettweis, X.; Fujita, K.; Galton-Fenzi, B. K.; Gladstone, R.; Golledge, N. R.; Greve, R.; Hattermann, T.; Hoffman, M. J.; Humbert, A.; Huss, M.; Huybrechts, P.; Immerzeel, W.; Kleiner, T.; Kraaijenbrink, P.; Le clec’h, S.; Lee, V.; Leguy, G. R.; Little, C. M.; Lowry, D. P.; Malles, J.-H.; Martin, D. F.; Maussion, F.; Morlighem, M.; O’Neill, J. F.; Nias, I.; Pattyn, F.; Pelle, T.; Price, S. F.; Quiquet, A.; Radić, V.; Reese, R.; Rounce, D. R.; Rückamp, M.; Sakai, A.; Shafer, C.; Schlegel, N.-J.; Shannon, S.; Smith, R. S.; Straneo, F.; Sun, S.; Tarasov, L.; Trusel, L. D.; Van Breedam, J.; van de Wal, R.; van den Broeke, M.; Winkelmann, R.; Zekollari, H.; Zhao, C.; Zhang, T.; Zwinger, T.: Projected land ice contributions to twenty-first-century sea level rise. Nature 593 (7857), s41586-021-03302-y, pp. 74 - 82 (2021)

Rockström, J.; Gupta, J.; Lenton, T. M.; Qin, D.; Lade, S. J.; Abrams, J. F.; Jacobson, L.; Rocha, J. C.; Zimm, C.; Bai, X. et al.; Bala, G.; Bringezu, S.; Broadgate, W.; Bunn, S. E.; DeClerck, F.; Ebi, K. L.; Gong, P.; Gordon, C.; Kanie, N.; Liverman, D. M.; Nakicenovic, N.; Obura, D.; Ramanathan, V.; Verburg, P. H.; van Vuuren, D. P.; Winkelmann, R.: Identifying a safe and just corridor for people and the planet. Earth's Future 9 (4), e2020EF001866 (2021)

Klose, A. K.; Wunderling, N.; Winkelmann, R.; Donges, J. F.: What do we mean, ‘tipping cascade’? Environmental Research Letters 16 (12), 125011, pp. 1 - 12 (2021)

Kreuzer, M.; Reese, R.; Huiskamp, W. N.; Petri, S.; Albrecht, T.; Feulner, G.; Winkelmann, R.: Coupling framework (1.0) for the PISM (1.1.4) ice sheet model and the MOM5 (5.1.0) ocean model via the PICO ice shelf cavity model in an Antarctic domain. Geoscientific Model Development 14 (6), 14-3697, pp. 3697 - 3714 (2021)

Rosier, S. H. R.; Reese, R.; Donges, J. F.; De Rydt, J.; Gudmundsson, G. H.; Winkelmann, R.: The tipping points and early warning indicators for Pine Island Glacier, West Antarctica. The Cryosphere 15 (3), 1501, pp. 1501 - 1516 (2021)

Wunderling, N.; Donges, J. F.; Kurths, J.; Winkelmann, R.: Interacting tipping elements increase risk of climate domino effects under global warming. Earth System Dynamics 12 (2), 601, pp. 601 - 619 (2021)

Zeitz, M.; Reese, R.; Beckmann, J.; Krebs-Kanzow, U.; Winkelmann, R.: Impact of the melt-albedo feedback on the future evolution of the Greenland Ice Sheet with PISM-dEBM-simple. The Cryosphere 15 (12), tc-15-5739-2021, pp. 5739 - 5764 (2021)

Sun, S.; Pattyn, F.; Simon, E. G.; Albrecht, T.; Cornford, S.; Calov, R.; Dumas, C.; Gillet-Chaulet, F.; Goelzer, H.; Golledge, N. R. et al.; Greve, R.; Hoffman, M. J.; Humbert, A.; Kazmierczak, E.; Kleiner, T.; Leguy, G. R.; Lipscomb, W. H.; Martin, D.; Morlighem, M.; Nowicki, S.; Pollard, D.; Price, S.; Quiquet, A.; Seroussi, H.; Schlemm, T.; Sutter, J.; van de Wal, R. S. W.; Winkelmann, R.; Zhang, T.: Antarctic ice sheet response to sudden and sustained ice-shelf collapse (ABUMIP). Journal of Glaciology 66 (260), 67 , pp. 891 - 904 (2020)

Wunderling, N.; Gelbrecht, M.; Winkelmann, R.; Kurths, J.; Donges, J. F.: Basin stability and limit cycles in a conceptual model for climate tipping cascades. New Journal of Physics 22 (12), 123031 (2020)

Wunderling, N.; Willeit, M.; Donges, J. F.; Winkelmann, R.: Global warming due to loss of large ice masses and Arctic summer sea ice. Nature Communications 11 (1), 5177 (2020)

Garbe, J.; Albrecht, T.; Levermann, A.; Donges, J. F.; Winkelmann, R.: The hysteresis of the Antarctic Ice Sheet. Nature 585 (7826), s41586-020-2727-5, pp. 538 - 544 (2020)

Ciemer, C.; Rehm, L.; Kurths, J.; Donner, R. V.; Winkelmann, R.; Boers, N.: An early-warning indicator for Amazon droughts exclusively based on tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures. Environmental Research Letters 15 (9), 094087, pp. 1 - 10 (2020)

Seroussi, H.; Nowicki, S.; Payne, A. J.; Goelzer, H.; Lipscomb, W. H.; Abe-Ouchi, A.; Agosta, C.; Albrecht, T.; Asay-Davis, X.; Barthel, A. et al.; Calov, R.; Cullather, R.; Dumas, C.; Galton-Fenzi, B. K.; Gladstone, R.; Golledge, N. R.; Gregory, J. M.; Greve, R.; Hattermann, T.; Hoffman, M. J.; Humbert, A.; Huybrechts, P.; Jourdain, N. C.; Kleiner, T.; Larour, E.; Leguy, G. R.; Lowry, D. P.; Little, C. M.; Morlighem, M.; Pattyn, F.; Pelle, T.; Price, S. F.; Quiquet, A.; Reese, R.; Schlegel, N.-J.; Shepherd, A.; Simon, E.; Smith, R. S.; Straneo, F.; Sun, S.; Trusel, L. D.; Breedam, J. V.; van de Wal, R. S. W.; Winkelmann, R.; Zhao, C.; Zhang, T.; Zwinger, T.: ISMIP6 Antarctica: a multi-model ensemble of the Antarctic ice sheet evolution over the 21st century. The Cryosphere 14 (9), 3033, pp. 3033 - 3070 (2020)

Klose, A. K.; Karle, V.; Winkelmann, R.; Donges, J. F.: Emergence of cascading dynamics in interacting tipping elements of ecology and climate. Royal Society Open Science 7 (6), 200599 (2020)

Krönke, J.; Wunderling, N.; Winkelmann, R.; Staal, A.; Stumpf, B.; Tuinenburg, O. A.; Donges, J. F.: Dynamics of tipping cascades on complex networks. Physical Review E 101 (4), 042311, pp. 1 - 9 (2020)

Wunderling, N.; Stumpf, B.; Krönke, J.; Staal, A.; Tuinenburg, O. A.; Winkelmann, R.; Donges, J. F.: How motifs condition critical thresholds for tipping cascades in complex networks: linking micro- to macro-scales. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science 30 (4), 043129, pp. 1 - 12 (2020)

Albrecht, T.; Winkelmann, R.; Levermann, A.: Glacial-cycle simulations of the Antarctic Ice Sheet with the Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM): parameter ensemble analysis (Part 2). The Cryosphere 14 (2), 633, pp. 633 - 656 (2020)